Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 10.781788 11.977835 13.265245 14.756235 16.438207 18.280002 20.453765
2025-08-17 8.750809 10.349789 12.195749 14.493388 17.288975 20.595621 24.825939
2025-08-24 7.352738 9.165295 11.385373 14.324968 18.145181 22.982741 29.637449
2025-08-31 6.357347 8.290334 10.782184 14.265345 19.064514 25.526417 35.025312
2025-09-07 5.726944 7.774157 10.536850 14.592746 20.488452 28.891735 42.040030
2025-09-14 5.089487 7.151599 10.046745 14.483231 21.244433 31.383822 48.170555
2025-09-21 4.518681 6.544457 9.489347 14.177063 21.630310 33.333728 53.739025
2025-09-28 4.094310 6.096261 9.101148 14.056042 22.252311 35.693328 60.314416
2025-10-05 3.875907 5.930243 9.112696 14.547723 23.902469 39.932145 70.817084
2025-10-12 3.672188 5.761444 9.094115 14.975190 25.483228 44.256063 82.224550
2025-10-19 3.427420 5.499100 8.891354 15.056743 26.452701 47.603513 92.343112
2025-10-26 3.171847 5.192693 8.580919 14.906426 26.967083 50.153588 101.291199
2025-11-02 2.921116 4.877082 8.233228 14.666294 27.314700 52.499356 110.427179
2025-11-09 2.695024 4.584198 7.897806 14.411620 27.603160 54.777931 119.905943
2025-11-16 2.506039 4.340182 7.626580 14.247758 28.051280 57.457996 130.881751
2025-11-23 2.350695 4.143127 7.422325 14.190424 28.710096 60.692801 143.897951
2025-11-30 2.258113 4.053444 7.410293 14.516988 30.232508 66.104533 163.649421
2025-12-07 2.122413 3.870376 7.200750 14.408716 30.776024 69.324593 178.345309
2025-12-14 1.977736 3.658075 6.914440 14.104641 30.830508 71.371401 190.265170
2025-12-21 1.865686 3.500412 6.723082 13.984494 31.296069 74.508711 206.075397
2025-12-28 1.822783 3.476614 6.802087 14.473461 33.294467 81.926568 236.718370
2026-01-04 1.775716 3.440244 6.850989 14.898531 35.196101 89.433359 269.750291
2026-01-11 1.701156 3.341109 6.757457 14.979648 36.230934 94.737526 297.003482